An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic

Produktbeschreibung

This is an introductory textbook on probability and induction written by one of the world's foremost philosophers of science. The book has been designed to offer maximal accessibility to the widest range of students (not only those majoring in philosophy) and assumes no formal training in elementary symbolic logic. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions of induction and probability. 

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Part I. Logic: 1. Logic; 2. What is inductive logic?; Part II. How to Calculate
Probabilities: 3. The gambler's fallacy; 4. Elementary probability; 5.
Conditional probability; 6. Basic laws of probability; 7. Bayes' rule; Part III.
How to Combine Probabilities and Utilities: 8. Expected value; 9. Maximizing
expected value; 10. Decision under uncertainty; Part IV. Kinds of Probability:
11. What do you mean?; 12. Theories about probability; Part V. Probability as a
Measure of Belief: 13. Personal probabilities; 14. Coherence; 15. Learning from
experience; Part VI. Probability as Frequency: 16. Stability; 17. Normal
approximations; 18. Significance; 19. Confidence and inductive behaviour; Part
VII. Probability Applied to Philosophy: 20. The philosophical problem of
induction; 21. Learning from experience as an evasion of the problem; 22.
Inductive behaviour as an evasion of the problem. 

Autoreninfo

Ian Hacking is the winner of the Holberg International Memorial Prize 2009.